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❄️Models shift storm farther south; southwestern Virginia will be hit hardest

RICHMOND, Va. --  The storm that we have been tracking since last weekend will move through the southern Plains, Tennessee Valley and the southeastern United States into Saturday night.  Here are the forecast accumulations through daybreak Sunday:

The storm track has shifted a bit northward, and this means our snow totals will be higher.

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Snow should spread into southwestern Virginia late Saturday night into Sunday morning.  The snow will be fighting dry air as it tracks to the northeast.  Snow will move into the metro by late morning or early afternoon.  Snow will be heavy at times by mid-afternoon and last into the evening, especially across southern Virginia.

As some warmer air gets infused into the system, the metro will see the potential for some wintry mix.  The mix will be more likely south of Richmond.  This wintry mix will be in the form of some sleet (ice pellets) and possibly freezing rain (liquid rain freezing on impact with the cold ground).

Snowfall accumulations will be highest in southwestern Virginia.  In central Virginia, the higher totals will be near/south of I-64 and west of I-95.  Rain and mix will keep snow totals down in far eastern Virginia.

Please keep in mind, these totals may be adjusted over the next 24 hours.  Any shift in the storm track by just 25 to 50 miles means the snowfall on the map above may move farther north/south or east/west.

Here are the current probabilities of accumulation for Richmond.

Precipitation will exit most areas by daybreak Monday.  It will be dry Monday afternoon through Thursday.  Daytime highs will be in the 40s and overnight lows will be in the 20s.  This means any snow melt that doesn't dry up during the day will refreeze overnight.

[We will continue to have updates to the forecast here.]

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