A clipper-type system will spread rain into the area overnight, reaching Richmond towards daybreak Monday. It will be a wintry mix for far northern and northwestern Virginia. Highs will reach the upper 30s northwest to 45°-50° southeast. Colder air will move in late Monday, causing the rain to mix with and then change to snow from northwest to southeast. The best chance of seeing the changeover in Richmond will be closer to midnight.
We should see periods of light snow Monday night into Tuesday morning, with some light accumulations possible. As of now, it looks like a coating to possibly 1″ will cover much of central Virginia, except well south of I-64, where little to no accumulation will occur. Areas north of I-64 will have the best chance of seeing an inch or more of accumulation. The storm will shift off the coast and then strengthen into a major storm moving up to the Northeast U.S. on Tuesday. Our models remain a bit at odds regarding how fast the storm intensifies before moving too far away from us. This means areas closer to the coast have the potential for some higher accumulations (1-3″). We will continue to update the accumulation forecast tomorrow, but be aware that the Tuesday morning commute will likely be impacted for much of the area with at least some slick spots.
It will be chilly Tuesday and Wednesday, with a bit of moderation Thursday and Friday. We could see some rain or snow showers Thursday night into Friday before another shot of cold air arrives next weekend.
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