Sunday morning winter storm update

Posted on: 1:32 pm, December 6, 2013, by , , , and , updated on: 06:34am, December 8, 2013

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Watch CBS 6 News This Morning from 6 to a.m. for updates from CBS 6 Storm Team Meteorologists Mike Stone and Carrie Rose. 

RICHMOND, Va. (WTVR) — The much anticipated “wintry mix” is on it way and will arrive in the morning.

Scattered light precipitation will increase in intensity after about 7 or 8 a.m.  Temperatures will drop a few degrees after the precipitation begins.  It will start as a mix of snow and sleet with a light accumulation possible, especially north and west.

The mix will change to freezing rain for the Richmond metro area and along much of the I-85 and I-95 corridor.

A wintry mix will likely continue to the west and northwest until afternoon, with over 1″ of snow and sleet possible.  Far southeastern Virginia could see a brief mix when the precipitation starts, but should see mainly rain after that.

As warmer air tries to move in this afternoon, the Richmond metro area and points south will transition to plain non-freezing rain.  Areas to the north and west will hang onto freezing rain into the evening.  Precipitation intensity should turn lighter and more scattered late today.

In terms of ice accumulation, some patchy icing or a light glaze may occur in the metro, especially on sidewalks, side streets, bridges and overpasses.

ZZMG4

Areas north and northwest of the metro should see a glaze of ice on untreated surfaces.  For locations well west of I-95, a quarter-inch of ice or more is possible by this evening.
ZZMG5

Here’s a breakdown of what to expect time-wise, beginning at 8 A.M.  The precipitation starts to break out over Metro RVA, likely as sleet mixed with rain to the south.
MG1

Temperatures will slowly warm back above 32° in the metro this afternoon, stay above freezing in southeast VA, and stay near or slightly below freezing west.
MG2

All areas should see temperatures moderate a bit overnight.  More rain will be possible tonight into Monday.  We could see additional icing in the mountains through daybreak, but most other areas will have non-freezing rain.

Highs Monday will reach the mid 40s to lower 50s with some periods of rain.  We will see some additional rainfall on Tuesday, but as colder air rushes back into the area later in the day, there could be some light snow for the last couple of hours of precipitation.

After that, we should see dry weather for the middle and end of the work-week.  Another system could bring some showers by late Saturday.

MG3

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[Click here to visit the WTVR.com weather page.]

5 comments

  • brandon says:

    WOW what a horrible analysis……..DID YOU ONLY LOOK AT THE 12Z NAM? come on this is just bad meteorology seriously

  • Jennifer says:

    Brandon, what are you seeing on your end? I don’t understand all of these different models, but I am really trying to get a good idea of what to expect before the very last minute..lol.

    • brandon1021 says:

      The only model that has RVA above freezing before nightfall is the 12z NAM, most if not all the other data keeps richmond below freezing until about 7-10p.m…….EVEN the new 18Z NAM HIGH RESOLUTION puts down good QPF and keeps RIchmond cold longer……..my best guess right now is along 95 .1-.25 ICE, western henrico westernj chester,western Hanover probably .25-.5″ ice, the .5 more so in central goochland powhatan just before CHO, anything west of CHO is in for a tough time all I-81 mostly

  • Jennifer says:

    Wow!! Thanks so much for your reply. I really appreciate that and its really nice to see another side to it. Why not look at all of the models especially since it looks like the majority of them are agreeing more with your forecast?

  • graig says:

    wtvr is all about the hype.seems their weather team is just desperate for attention ,like last week.I predict some rain and cold.thats it

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