An upper-level trough currently over the northeast Pacific Ocean will move across the U.S. early next week, bringing the potential for accumulating snow to parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast.
Medium range models (Euro, GFS, and GEM) all agree on the trough moving through the area, but disagree on the timing, position, and strength of the system, and ultimately its effect on the Commonwealth.
The snow lover in all of us would love to see the 00z Euro from the past two days verify, bringing 4 to 6 inches of snow to Richmond, and well over a foot in the western part of the state.
The 12z runs of the Euro each day have backed off on that solution, bringing very little snow to our area. The GFS has been bullish in bringing very little snow to the area, and keeping the development of a nor’easter offshore and southeast of Virginia.
This thing is still 6 days away, so the model solutions will continue to be variable. The chatter in the blogosphere will no doubt only continue to ramp up as well. Here’s my no-hype take on our potential for an accumulating snow as I see it now:
Are you hoping for a big snow, or just ready for 70s and Spring? Click here to go to my facebook page and submit your answer. Right now it’s 4 to 1 in favor of snow. Click the “Like” button while you’re there! -Zach