Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) has called the Virginia U.S. Senate Race for Democratic incumbent Sen. Tim Kaine.
Democratic U.S. Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia is vying for a third term against Republican challenger Hung Cao.
The Commonwealth hasn’t elected a Republican to the upper chamber since 2002. Kaine won in 2018 by 16 percentage points.
Political scientists have said there’s a narrow path to victory for the GOP. They cite Virginia’s moderate electorate, aversion to former President Donald Trump in the 2020 election, and Kaine’s salience with voters.
Cao scored Trump’s endorsement during a crowded Republican primary race.
He is a 25-year veteran of the U.S. Navy. Cao previously ran for a U.S. House seat in northern Virginia in 2022 but lost to Democratic U.S. Rep. Jennifer Wexton.
These election result numbers are provided by Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ).
What is Decision Desk HQ?
Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) launched as an independent provider of election results, race calls and data in 2012. It was the first provider to call the presidency for former President Donald Trump in 2016 and for President Joe Biden in 2020. In 2022, DDHQ says it projected the U.S. Senate, House and governor races with 100% accuracy, beating The Associated Press' race calls 71% of the time.
How does DDHQ work?
DDHQ uses technology like data-scraping as well as real people on the ground at polling sites to call races. For larger elections, like the presidential election, DDHQ is strategic about choosing which states and localities to send staff to. The election results are provided to media outlets to display on air and on their websites.
"In addition to election night returns, we also collect and curate absentee and early vote tallies, FEC data and polling data," DDHQ says.
What else does DDHQ do?
DDHQ goes beyond offering election results data. The company can also provide media outlets with pre-election and exit polling and historical election data. DDHQ’s election models can be modified with variables to better give the public an understanding of how elections can turn out.
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