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Hurricane Joaquin: 6 things the National Hurricane Center wants you to know Thursday morning

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RICHMOND, Va. -- There were huge changes in successive model runs Wednesday night regarding the track of Hurricane Joaquin, CBS 6 Chief Meteorologist Zach Daniel reported. The GFS shifted Hurricane Joaquin a few hundred miles east of its previous solution. The new solution keeps Joaquin offshore through the Mid-Atlantic, with a potential landfall in New York.

"These types of changes were expected, and I know that we will see more in the next couple of days," Daniel said. "Hurricane forecasting, and particularly in this case, is complex with many players and a huge amount of uncertainty. My message remains the same: no need to panic, be prepared and continue to monitor the track and intensity updates. We'll see what changes come with the morning data."

Meanwhile the National Hurricane Center issued 6 keys points about Hurricane Joaquin Thursday morning:

  1. Preparations to protect life and property in the central Bahamas should be complete
  2. Confidence in the details of the forecast after 72 hours remains low, as there have been some large changes in the model guidance overnight
  3. Effort continue to provide the forecast models with as much data as possible
  4. Because landfall, it it occurs, is still more than three days away, it's too early to talk about specific wind, rain or surge impacts from Joaquin in the United States
  5. A hurricane watch for a portion of the U.S. coast could be required as early as tonight
  6. Many portions of the eastern U.S. are currently experiencing heavy rains and gusty winds associated with a frontal system

Joaquin Key Messages

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