Wednesday Late Afternoon Update: Beryl is no longer a tropical system, and is just an area of low pressure with heavy rain and gusty winds. The last bit of rain will exit Virginia Beach and the Outer Banks by mid-evening.
Wednesday Noon Update: Tropical Depression Beryl may not be able to regain Tropical Storm status this afternoon as a result of the approaching upper-level trough and surface boundary from the northwest that is moving through Virginia this afternoon. What is more likely over the next day is that Beryl will become a Post-Tropical Storm as it accelerates away from the Mid-Atlantic.
Center of Tropical Depression Beryl is 5 miles west of Wilmington, NC, or about 160 miles west-southwest of Cape Hatteras, NC.
Maximum Sustained Winds: 35 mph
Moving NE at 20 mph
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 mb…or 29.53 inches
As the center moves offshore over the warm, Atlantic waters fueled by the Gulf Stream, Beryl will gradually re-intensify through this evening back to Tropical Storm strength. Beryl will graze the Outer Banks through early Thursday as it accelerates northeast away from the Mid-Atlantic coastline.
Tuesday Evening Update: Beryl is a tropical depression located in southeastern Georgia with winds of 30 mph. It will continue tracking northeast and move off the coast of South & North Carolina tomorrow. The forecast track remains the same from the update below.
Tuesday Morning Update from Meteorologist Carrie Rose:
Beryl continues to bring heavy, but much-needed, rainfall to southern Georgia and northern Florida this morning, as the center of the low is nearly stationary just north of the Georgia-Florida state line. Coastal northeast Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina could receive as much as five to ten inches of rainfall from Beryl. The approaching upper-level trough Zach described in the previous update is still on track to kick Tropical Depression Beryl northeast back over the Atlantic, hugging the Southeast U.S. coast from late Tuesday through early Thursday. As this happens, the storm will again tap into the warm Atlantic waters from the Gulf Stream, and should briefly re-intensify to a Tropical Storm overnight Wednesday into early Thursday while it brushes the Outer Banks.
Monday Evening Update from Chief Meteorologist Zach Daniel:
Beryl weakened to a tropical depression earlier today, and continues to move slowly across extreme south Georgia, dumping very heavy rains across the area. The system will turn northeast early Tuesday in response to a strong trough shifting east across the western Great Lakes and the associated westerlies. Below is the upper-level pattern for 8 AM Tuesday, showing Beryl and the deepening upper-low/strengthening westerlies.
Beryl will move over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream and will likely regain tropical storm strength as it passes just to the east of the Outer Banks. Below is a close-up of the expected track of Beryl as it passes the Outer Banks.
The cyclone will continue to increase its forward speed, becoming an extra-tropical low on Thursday as it merges with a frontal system and moves over much colder waters. Below is the position of the cold front and Beryl late Wednesday.
I’ll be heading to the Outer Banks tomorrow, and will have iPhone reports as well as Twitter & Facebook updates. -Zach